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Japan Market to Grow 22% CAGR Through 2033, India Joins Race

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The biosimilars market—offering cost-effective, near-biologic therapies—is set for rapid expansion. India’s growing role complements major global momentum, driven by patent expirations, chronic disease prevalence, and supportive regulatory frameworks worldwide.

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Biosimilars-market

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Powerful Market Momentum

  • Global Growth Forecast
    The global biosimilars market was valued at USD 24 billion in 2024, with an expected CAGR of 19.6% to 2031, reaching USD 84 billion by then.

  • Asia‑Pacific Leader
    The Asia-Pacific segment accounted for USD 9.95 billion in 2024 and is projected to surpass USD 55 billion by 2032 (CAGR 18.7%). India is the region’s fastest-growing market, expected to hit USD 2.725 billion by 2027.

India’s Strategic Biosimilar Rise

  • Domestic Market Outlook
    Though exact current data from DataM Intelligence is proprietary, industry sources estimate India’s biosimilar sector will reach USD 35 billion by 2030, reflecting surging domestic R&D and biosimilar manufacturing.

  • Industry Foundations
    India boasts 670-plus USFDA-approved facilities, produces nearly half of global vaccine demand, and supports top biosimilar firms: Biocon Biologics, Intas, Dr. Reddy’s, Cipla, Aurobindo, Reliance Lifesciences.

  •  Competitive Consolidation
    M&A and strategic alliances (e.g., Abbott–mAbxience, Biocon–Sandoz) are consolidating expertise and accelerating launches.

Key Drivers & Market Dynamics

  • Patent Expirations Unlocking Markets
    Loss of patents on blockbuster biologics—such as Herceptin, Rituxan, Enbrel, Humira and Stelara—fuels biosimilar entry. For example, Celltrion's CT-P43 (Stelara biosimilar) is set to enter the US in March 2025.

  • Cost Savings & Access
    Biosimilars cost 30–70% less than originators—e.g. Remicade’s vial at USD 500 vs. USD 1,600 for original—leading to potential savings up to USD 38 billion in US healthcare spend (2021–25).

  • Chronic Diseases & Aging Demographics
    Rising chronic disease burden (cancer, autoimmune, diabetes) and global aging populations are expanding biosimilar demand—even more pronounced in Japan with its geriatric demographics.

  • Regulatory & Market Evolution
    Streamlining by FDA, PMDA (Japan), and EMA—like BPCIA in the US (since 2010) and PMDA reforms—shortens market entry time.

  • Competitive Consolidation
    M&A and strategic alliances (e.g., Abbott–mAbxience, Biocon–Sandoz) are consolidating expertise and accelerating launches.

Trends in the US & Japan

United States

  • Retail & PBM Shifts
    CVS’s launch of Cordavis and its biosimilar Hyrimoz (Humira biosimilar) reflects payor strategy shifts. US biosimilars projected at <USD 10B in 2022 to over USD 100B by 2029.

  • Regulatory Expansion
    As of October 2024, the FDA has approved 60 biosimilars. Under BPCIA, biosimilars are now interchangeable for prescriptions, reducing time and cost.

Japan

  • Explosive Growth
    Japan’s market grew from USD 314.6 million in 2020 to USD 1.268 billion by 2027 (CAGR 22%).

  • Domestic Surge
    IMARC data forecasts growth from USD 475.8 million in 2024 to USD 3.42 billion by 2033 (CAGR 22.7%).

  • Regulatory & Reimbursement Support
    PMDA’s streamlined approvals, alignment with EMA/FDA pathways, and generous reimbursement drive rising biosimilar adoption in elderly care.

India-Specific Growth Opportunities

  • Chronic Disease Burden & Cost Pressure
    India's rising diabetes, cancer, and autoimmune cases mirror global patterns—biosimilars can alleviate patient and government spending.

  • Government & Regulatory Push
    With supportive policies and evolving domestic approvals, India is poised to deepen its biosimilar space.

  • Export Potential
    Scaled production and quality, backed by USFDA production sites, strengthen India’s role as a global exporter of biosimilars and biologics.

  • Domestic Innovation
    Startups and biotech INR 25,000 cr government funding are developing next-gen biosimilars and contract research/manufacturing (CRDMO) services.

  • Strategic Collaborations
    Partnerships (e.g., Biocon–Sandoz, Abbott–mAbxience) and expanding portfolios (e.g. oncology, immunology biosimilars) will increase India's global competitiveness.

Market Challenges

  • Manufacturing Complexity & Immunogenicity
    Biosimilars require expensive, high-precision processes, adding to development risk.

  • Physician & Patient Resistance
    Lack of familiarity and perceived safety concerns slow adoption—especially in Japan .

  • Pricing Pressure
    Fierce competition leads to shrinking margins, as manufacturers seek differentiation beyond cost savings .

  • PBM Strategies in US
    Rebates and formularies can favor originators over biosimilars, complicating market entry .

Expert Opinion

“Patent expirations create lucrative biosimilar opportunities in oncology and autoimmune spaces,” notes Global Research Firm.

“Asia‑Pacific is the fastest-growing region, with India leading the charge thanks to expanded biosimilar production and affordable pricing,” says MarketsandMarkets.

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Future Outlook

The biosimilars market is at a pivotal growth juncture. For India, aligning domestic capacity with regulatory support and global partnerships promises millions in healthcare savings and enhanced treatment access.

Strategic Recommendations:

  • Policymakers & Regulators should enhance interchangeability rules and reimbursement models.

  • Manufacturers must invest in high-quality production, biosimilar differentiation, and therapeutic innovation.

  • Healthcare Providers should be educated to build trust and expand biosimilar use.

  • Global Investors have opportunity in India’s rising biosimilar and biopharma sectors—propelled by CRO/CMO capabilities and export scale

 

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